[Computer-go] News on Tromp-Cook ?
Stefan Kaitschick
Stefan.Kaitschick at Hamburg.de
Sun Jan 2 03:26:45 PST 2011
Am 02.01.2011 11:22, schrieb Darren Cook:
>> In your survey, the spread for a super-human program, from those that
>> correctly predicted 2010 for shodan,
>> is from 2023 to 2150.
>> So even between the best predictors sofar, there was huge disagreement
>> when it comes topling humanity ...
>> I guess current knowledge of the effectiveness and scalability of MCTS
>> would narrow the spread, but how much?
> This was the other poll I set up; with the recent attention the number
> of votes jumped a lot, and (surprisingly to me) the most popular choice
> is now 2015 to 2020:
> http://polldaddy.com/poll/1614045/?view=results
>
> Darren
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Thx.
Funny, the "sweet spot" from 2030 to 2050 only gets 12%.
It seems that the word is mainly populated with optimists and pessimists.
Or maybe the're all optimists, they only have different hopes. :-)
Stefan
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