[Computer-go] How well does pure monte carlo play?

[Christoph Birk]

On Jan 21, 2012, at 2:16 PM, Petr Baudis wrote:

> On Sat, Jan 21, 2012 at 03:42:57PM -0500, Don Dailey wrote:
>> On Sat, Jan 21, 2012 at 2:31 PM, Eric Baum <ebaum at fastmail.fm> wrote:
>> 
>>> If you don't do rave, or use patterns to predict likely moves, or any of
>>> that, but just do pure monte carlo,
>>> parallelized on a cluster,how well would that play Go? Anyone know?
> 
> I assume you are talking about 9x9? A rather optimistic estimate would
> be 1600 Elo on CGOS for 50k playouts per move; with GNUGo at 1800 Elo,
> we could estimate this as 8k KGS.

myCtest-50k does exactly that and it rating is 1689 +- 15 (4000 games).

Christoph